DFS Picks
NBA DFS Picks Today
The plays our model likes most on tonight's slate — split by cash-game floor, tournament ceiling, value, and the chalk we'd fade.
Cash-game core
Highest floors — safe, high-minutes plays for 50/50s.
- 41.7 floorChet HolmgrenOKC · C
- 36.5 floorGiannis AntetokounmpoMIL · PF
- 33.4 floorAustin ReavesLAL · SG
- 32.7 floorAaron GordonDEN · PF
- 29.1 floorJaylen BrownBOS · SG
- 28.2 floorDevin BookerPHX · SG
GPP ceiling
Highest ceilings for tournament leverage.
- 98.4 ceilChet HolmgrenOKC · C
- 88.9 ceilGiannis AntetokounmpoMIL · PF
- 88.4 ceilAaron GordonDEN · PF
- 80.5 ceilDevin BookerPHX · SG
- 77.1 ceilJayson TatumBOS · SF
- 77.0 ceilAustin ReavesLAL · SG
Best values
Most projected points per $1,000 of salary.
- 6.07xJaylen BrownBOS · SG
- 6.01xAaron GordonDEN · PF
- 5.99xGiannis AntetokounmpoMIL · PF
- 5.83xShai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC · PG
- 5.76xChet HolmgrenOKC · C
- 5.68xJalen WilliamsOKC · SF
Fades
Popular but weak value — leverage the field off these.
- 23% ownJimmy ButlerMIA · SF
- 23% ownTyler HerroMIA · SG
- 32% ownBrook LopezMIL · C
- 25% ownJamal MurrayDEN · PG
Picks are model-derived from our NBA projections and are for fantasy research only.