DFS Picks
NFL DFS Picks Today
The plays our model likes most on tonight's slate — split by cash-game floor, tournament ceiling, value, and the chalk we'd fade.
Cash-game core
Highest floors — safe, high-minutes plays for 50/50s.
- 36.5 floorRashee RiceKC · WR
- 35.2 floorTony PollardDAL · RB
- 33.5 floorTyreek HillMIA · WR
- 32.0 floorDak PrescottDAL · QB
- 31.4 floorTua TagovailoaMIA · QB
- 30.7 floorJahmyr GibbsDET · RB
GPP ceiling
Highest ceilings for tournament leverage.
- 88.2 ceilRashee RiceKC · WR
- 81.8 ceilCeeDee LambDAL · WR
- 80.3 ceilTony PollardDAL · RB
- 73.4 ceilTyreek HillMIA · WR
- 71.8 ceilTua TagovailoaMIA · QB
- 70.8 ceilJahmyr GibbsDET · RB
Best values
Most projected points per $1,000 of salary.
- 6.05xTua TagovailoaMIA · QB
- 5.86xJalen HurtsPHI · QB
- 5.77xCeeDee LambDAL · WR
- 5.67xDak PrescottDAL · QB
- 5.41xDerrick HenryBAL · RB
- 5.40xRashee RiceKC · WR
Fades
Popular but weak value — leverage the field off these.
- 38% ownDeVonta SmithPHI · WR
- 33% ownPatrick MahomesKC · QB
- 23% ownStefon DiggsBUF · WR
- 28% ownJosh AllenBUF · QB
Picks are model-derived from our NFL projections and are for fantasy research only.